BOT ACTIVE

We analyzed 86 million trades.
The bot does the rest.

We scored every wallet on Polymarket. Four factors. The top 200 get watched 24/7. Every trade mirrored automatically.

No Bloomberg terminal. No team. No manual work.

86M

Trades analyzed

70%

Win rate

200

Wallets watched

$29/mo

Total cost

Live right now
SHARPBET
Paper P&L+$2,847
OPEN
6
WON
18
LOST
5
WIN%
78%
Alpha FeedSCANNING
BTC above $100K
BUY @ 0.624
91
$2,400
Fed cuts rates in 2025
BUY @ 0.318
88
$5,100
ETH above $3K
BUY @ 0.481
94
$1,800
Disposition
86%
WIN CAP
D=0.74
12%
LOSS CUT
Capital Velocity
49×vs avg
Pair network: 42
The insight

Same exact entries.
The exits make it a different game.

The disposition coefficient changed everything. It does not measure how you enter. It measures how you exit.

Top wallets

86%

of winner value captured

12%

losers cut at

Everyone else

58%

of winner value captured

41%

losers held to

The four factors

No opinions. No news.
Four numbers that align or do not.

capital_velocity

49x

top wallets recycle capital vs average

Capital Velocity

Every dollar recycled 49 times before the average trader recycles once. Velocity separates informed conviction from casual noise.

cross_market_div

early

bets placed before the crowd moves

Cross-Market Divergence

When a wallet bets at 0.18 on a market the crowd prices at 0.31, that gap is the signal. Divergence from consensus means they know something.

disposition_coef

86%

winner value captured by top wallets

Disposition Coefficient

How you exit determines everything. Top wallets hold winners and cut losers fast. Everyone else does the opposite.

pair_network

42

pair correlations found across 11 markets

Pair Network Correlation

When MSFT beats Q3 is at 80c but the model reads 93%, it enters. When the gap closes, it exits. Pure structure. Zero opinions.

How SharpBet works

Automated. Continuous. No input needed.

01

We scored every wallet

86 million trades. 50,000 markets. Every wallet on Polymarket scored across all four factors. The top 200 make up the live watchlist.

02

The bot watches 24/7

When a watchlisted wallet places a significant trade, SharpBet detects it on-chain within seconds. Size, market, direction, all four factor scores checked.

03

Position opened automatically

A paper trade mirrors the position immediately. Same market. Same outcome. No delay. No manual action. You just watch the P&L.

The setup

Their fund. Your fund.

Quant fund

Floor of PhDs

$800M AUM

Bloomberg terminals

Proprietary infrastructure

Years of R&D

SharpBet

Automated bot, runs 24/7

86M trades analyzed

200 sharp wallets tracked live

Starts on paper. Moves to real money.

No setup. No manual work.

$29/month

Start on paper.
Graduate to real money.

The bot mirrors the top 200 wallets automatically. Paper first so you can see the returns before a dollar is at risk. Real trading unlocks once the track record is there.

$29/month · paper trading now · real money coming

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